SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 13, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Active Trade in Progress (8.3%)

Today’s price:O: 115.98 H: 116.10 L: 112.57 C: 113.09

Price is -3.3% down from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 101 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.09 showing a gain of 8.3%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 5,093 4,890
OK n/a 88.9%
DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
Cagr 20.0 19.3

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5856%
System Quality Number: 3.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

As of November 13, 2025, SPX fell -1.66%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and short-term swings are intensifying.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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