Tag: Up trend 89 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 28, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System Holding a Position (13.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 118.59 H: 119.23 L: 117.83 C: 118.58

    Price is 0.5% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 89 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 118.58 showing a gain of 13.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,436 2,691
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%
    Cagr 21.7 11.4

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 6036%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 11.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 28, 2025, SPX rose +0.23%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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