Tag: Profitable SP500 Trading Plan

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – February 10, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System is Currently Invested (0.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.72 H: 59.98 L: 59.12 C: 59.19

    Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 3 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.19 showing a gain of 0.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,550 5,740
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1932.5 1990.6

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1990.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of February 10, 2026, SPX fell -0.33%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – February 09, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System Holding a Position (1.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.77 H: 59.88 L: 58.59 C: 59.56

    Price is 1.0% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 2 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.56 showing a gain of 1.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,602 5,834
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1950.7 2021.5

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2021.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of February 09, 2026, SPX rose +0.47%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 09, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System is Currently Invested (1.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.31 H: 60.12 L: 59.08 C: 59.90

    Price is 1.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 14 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.90 showing a gain of 1.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,605 5,920
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2025.5 2125.4

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2125.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of January 09, 2026, SPX rose +0.65%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 07, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (0.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.62 H: 59.92 L: 59.12 C: 59.18

    Price is -0.7% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 12 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.18 showing a gain of 0.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,504 5,738
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1998.0 2072.8

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2072.8%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of January 07, 2026, SPX fell -0.34%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 31, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Position Open – In the Market (-1.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.83 H: 58.85 L: 57.88 C: 57.92

    Price is -1.5% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 8 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 57.92 showing a gain of -1.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,335 5,042
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1960.5 1864.3

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1864.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 31, 2025, SPX fell -0.74%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 23, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – No Active Position.

    Today’s price:O: 58.46 H: 59.19 L: 58.45 C: 59.13

    Price is 0.9% up from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 3 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,479 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2027.8 1962.6

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1962.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 23, 2025, SPX rose +0.46%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 18, 2025 – Market Direction: Downward – Active Trade in Progress (4.4%)

    Today’s price:O: 109.62 H: 110.65 L: 107.59 C: 109.01

    Price is -1.7% down from previous close.

    Despite a 2-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 109.01 showing a gain of 4.4%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,824 4,378
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 18.9 17.4

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5856%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 17.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of November 18, 2025, SPX fell -0.83%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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