Tag: Down trend 14 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 30, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Active Trade in Progress (15.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 66.43 H: 67.63 L: 66.37 C: 67.38

    Price is 1.6% up from previous close.

    Despite a 14-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 67.38 showing a gain of 15.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,799 7,920
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.7 22.4

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 22.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 30, 2026, SPX rose +0.79%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 17, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is Currently Invested (-6.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 55.51 H: 55.85 L: 55.13 C: 55.25

    Price is 0.5% up from previous close.

    Despite a 14-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 55.25 showing a gain of -6.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,045 4,743
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1701.2 1610.4

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1610.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 17, 2026, SPX rose +0.25%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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