Author: manolin

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 08, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – System Holding a Position (-4.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 56.02 H: 56.14 L: 55.24 C: 55.97

    Price is 5.1% up from previous close.

    Despite a 29-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 55.97 showing a gain of -4.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,197 4,925
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 17.0 16.2

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 16.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 07, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (-9.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 52.85 H: 53.31 L: 51.94 C: 53.25

    Price is 0.1% up from previous close.

    Despite a 28-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.25 showing a gain of -9.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,823 4,237
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 16.0 14.2

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 14.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 02, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Active Trade in Progress (-10.4%)

    Today’s price:O: 51.22 H: 53.06 L: 51.01 C: 52.74

    Price is 0.2% up from previous close.

    Despite a 26-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 52.74 showing a gain of -10.4%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,746 4,108
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 15.8 13.9

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1390.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 26, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – Active Trade in Progress (-13.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 52.26 H: 52.72 L: 51.12 C: 51.16

    Price is -3.5% down from previous close.

    Despite a 21-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 51.16 showing a gain of -13.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,510 3,708
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1523.8 1276.9

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1276.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 26, 2026, SPX fell -1.74%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 25, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System Holding a Position (-9.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 53.34 H: 53.70 L: 52.64 C: 53.04

    Price is 0.9% up from previous close.

    Despite a 20-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.04 showing a gain of -9.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,767 4,184
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1603.0 1426.1

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1426.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of March 25, 2026, SPX rose +0.54%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 24, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (-10.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 52.31 H: 53.21 L: 52.06 C: 52.59

    Price is -0.7% down from previous close.

    Despite a 19-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 52.59 showing a gain of -10.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,687 4,070
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1580.9 1392.6

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1392.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 24, 2026, SPX fell -0.37%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 23, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is Currently Invested (-10.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 53.36 H: 54.11 L: 52.73 C: 52.96

    Price is 2.1% up from previous close.

    Despite a 18-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 52.96 showing a gain of -10.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,742 4,163
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1599.3 1423.1

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1423.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 23, 2026, SPX rose +1.15%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 20, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is Currently Invested (-11.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 53.17 H: 53.19 L: 51.27 C: 51.86

    Price is -2.9% down from previous close.

    Despite a 17-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 51.86 showing a gain of -11.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,575 3,885
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1554.1 1341.2

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1341.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 20, 2026, SPX fell -1.51%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 19, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (-9.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 52.96 H: 53.92 L: 52.68 C: 53.42

    Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

    Despite a 16-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.42 showing a gain of -9.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,799 4,280
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1623.7 1465.4

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1465.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 19, 2026, SPX fell -0.27%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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