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A Trading System for the S&P500

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 05, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Active Trade in Progress (10.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 114.30 H: 116.28 L: 114.01 C: 115.13

    Price is 0.6% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 95 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 115.13 showing a gain of 10.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,224 5,147
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.7 20.4

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5856%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis (Daily)

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of November 05, 2025, SPX rose +0.37%.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 04, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System Holding a Position (9.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 114.69 H: 116.00 L: 114.17 C: 114.46

    Price is -2.4% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 94 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 114.46 showing a gain of 9.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,169 5,062
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.5 20.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5856%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis (Daily)

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of November 04, 2025, SPX fell -1.17%.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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    Today’s price:O: 118.01 H: 118.04 L: 116.06 C: 117.23

    Price is 0.4% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 93 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 117.23 showing a gain of 12.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,349 2,614
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%
    Cagr 21.2 11.0

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 6036%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 11.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of November 03, 2025, SPX rose +0.17%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • [Cartera : +0.57%] Cartera SPW – 2025-10-31

    Today’s price:O: 117.80 H: 117.81 L: 115.84 C: 116.76

    Price is 0.6% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 92 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 116.76 showing a gain of 11.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,323 2,587
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%
    Cagr 21.2 10.9

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 6036%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 10.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 31, 2025, SPX rose +0.26%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 30, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System is Currently Invested (11.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 117.48 H: 118.14 L: 116.08 C: 116.10

    Price is -2.1% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 91 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 116.10 showing a gain of 11.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,283 2,550
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%
    Cagr 21.1 10.8

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 6036%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 10.8%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 30, 2025, SPX fell -0.99%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this can signal the closing phase of a bearish leg initiated in quadrant 1. Even as volatility eases, prices remain under pressure — suggesting that sellers still dominate the short-term tone.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 29, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System Holding a Position (13.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 119.14 H: 119.48 L: 117.14 C: 118.65

    Price is 0.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 90 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 118.65 showing a gain of 13.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,436 2,695
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%
    Cagr 21.6 11.4

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 6036%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 11.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 29, 2025, SPX fell -0.00%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 28, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System Holding a Position (13.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 118.59 H: 119.23 L: 117.83 C: 118.58

    Price is 0.5% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 89 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 118.58 showing a gain of 13.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,436 2,691
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%
    Cagr 21.7 11.4

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 6036%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 11.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 28, 2025, SPX rose +0.23%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 27, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Position Open – In the Market (13.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 117.17 H: 118.09 L: 116.94 C: 117.97

    Price is 2.4% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 88 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 117.97 showing a gain of 13.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,401 2,656
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%
    Cagr 21.6 11.2

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 6036%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 11.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 27, 2025, SPX rose +1.23%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 24, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – Active Trade in Progress (10.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 115.03 H: 115.70 L: 114.77 C: 115.24

    Price is 1.6% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 87 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 115.24 showing a gain of 10.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,214 2,501
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%
    Cagr 21.0 10.7

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 6036%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 10.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 24, 2025, SPX rose +0.79%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 23, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – System Holding a Position (8.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 112.25 H: 113.80 L: 112.16 C: 113.42

    Price is 1.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 86 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.42 showing a gain of 8.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,095 4,945
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.6 20.0

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 23, 2025, SPX rose +0.58%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com


The content on this site is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. The strategies shared reflect personal research and experience and may not be suitable for others. Always consult an independent financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This blog does not offer financial services or maintain any contractual relationship with its readers.

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