Tag: Up trend 79 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 14, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System is Currently Invested (5.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 108.78 H: 111.65 L: 107.46 C: 110.47

    Price is -0.3% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 79 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 110.47 showing a gain of 5.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,884 4,573
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.1 18.9

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 18.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of October 14, 2025, SPX fell -0.16%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — this can signal the beginning of a bearish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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