Tag: Up trend 3 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – February 10, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System is Currently Invested (0.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.72 H: 59.98 L: 59.12 C: 59.19

    Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 3 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.19 showing a gain of 0.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,550 5,740
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1932.5 1990.6

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1990.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of February 10, 2026, SPX fell -0.33%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 23, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – System is Currently Invested (0.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.74 H: 59.21 L: 58.56 C: 58.90

    Price is 0.0% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 3 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 58.90 showing a gain of 0.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,492 5,667
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1956.6 2011.5

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2011.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of January 23, 2026, SPX rose +0.03%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 23, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – No Active Position.

    Today’s price:O: 58.46 H: 59.19 L: 58.45 C: 59.13

    Price is 0.9% up from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 3 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,479 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2027.8 1962.6

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1962.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 23, 2025, SPX rose +0.46%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 28, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – System is Currently Invested (16.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 57.85 H: 58.30 L: 57.79 C: 58.26

    Price is 1.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 3 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 58.26 showing a gain of 16.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,343 5,119
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2048.9 1972.2

    Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 5.2

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1972.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of November 28, 2025, SPX rose +0.54%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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