Tag: Up trend 18 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – May 07, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – System is Currently Invested (3.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 65.83 H: 66.00 L: 64.88 C: 65.18

    Price is -0.7% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 18 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 65.18 showing a loss of 3.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,436 760
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.9 2.7

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of May 07, 2026, SPX fell -0.38%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 15, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Active Trade in Progress (1.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.96 H: 60.10 L: 59.38 C: 59.54

    Price is 0.5% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 18 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.54 showing a gain of 1.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,556 5,829
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1996.4 2082.5

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2082.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of January 15, 2026, SPX rose +0.26%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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