Tag: Up trend 18 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 15, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Active Trade in Progress (1.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.96 H: 60.10 L: 59.38 C: 59.54

    Price is 0.5% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 18 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.54 showing a gain of 1.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,556 5,829
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1996.4 2082.5

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2082.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of January 15, 2026, SPX rose +0.26%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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