Tag: Up trend 14 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 09, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System is Currently Invested (1.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.31 H: 60.12 L: 59.08 C: 59.90

    Price is 1.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 14 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.90 showing a gain of 1.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,605 5,920
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2025.5 2125.4

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2125.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of January 09, 2026, SPX rose +0.65%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 12, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues –

    Today’s price:O: 58.98 H: 59.08 L: 57.41 C: 57.84

    Price is -2.2% down from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 14 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,270 1,375
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 3.9%
    Cagr 1986.5 567.1

    Closed Ops: 1 – Won: 1 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 0.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 567.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 3.9 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 1 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 15, 2025, SPX fell -0.16%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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