Tag: Up trend 100 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 12, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Active Trade in Progress (12.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 117.50 H: 117.52 L: 116.16 C: 116.97

    Price is 0.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 100 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 116.97 showing a gain of 12.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,347 5,378
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.9 21.0

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5856%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of November 12, 2025, SPX rose +0.06%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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