Tag: Quantitative System for Retail Investors

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 08, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – System Holding a Position (-4.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 56.02 H: 56.14 L: 55.24 C: 55.97

    Price is 5.1% up from previous close.

    Despite a 29-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 55.97 showing a gain of -4.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,197 4,925
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 17.0 16.2

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 16.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 02, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Active Trade in Progress (-10.4%)

    Today’s price:O: 51.22 H: 53.06 L: 51.01 C: 52.74

    Price is 0.2% up from previous close.

    Despite a 26-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 52.74 showing a gain of -10.4%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,746 4,108
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 15.8 13.9

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1390.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 19, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (-9.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 52.96 H: 53.92 L: 52.68 C: 53.42

    Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

    Despite a 16-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.42 showing a gain of -9.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,799 4,280
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1623.7 1465.4

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1465.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 19, 2026, SPX fell -0.27%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 03, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (-3.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 56.12 H: 57.39 L: 55.20 C: 56.99

    Price is -1.8% down from previous close.

    Despite a 4-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 56.99 showing a gain of -3.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,270 5,183
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1802.1 1775.8

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1775.8%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of March 03, 2026, SPX fell -0.94%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – February 19, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – Position Open – In the Market (-1.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 57.72 H: 58.11 L: 57.34 C: 57.82

    Price is -0.5% down from previous close.

    Despite a 5-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 57.82 showing a gain of -1.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,371 5,393
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1858.7 1865.4

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1865.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of February 19, 2026, SPX fell -0.28%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – February 13, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System Holding a Position (-2.4%)

    Today’s price:O: 57.38 H: 58.16 L: 56.69 C: 57.41

    Price is 0.1% up from previous close.

    Despite a 2-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 57.41 showing a gain of -2.4%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,314 5,290
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1854.2 1846.7

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1846.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of February 13, 2026, SPX rose +0.05%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 28, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Active Trade in Progress (1.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 60.24 H: 60.37 L: 59.70 C: 59.95

    Price is -0.1% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 6 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.95 showing a gain of 1.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,632 5,932
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1988.4 2081.5

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2081.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of January 28, 2026, SPX fell -0.01%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 13, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System is Currently Invested (1.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 60.16 H: 60.23 L: 59.42 C: 59.82

    Price is -0.4% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 16 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.82 showing a gain of 1.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,600 5,900
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2015.1 2110.0

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2110.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of January 13, 2026, SPX fell -0.19%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 12, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Active Trade in Progress (2.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.31 H: 60.24 L: 59.31 C: 60.08

    Price is 0.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 15 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 60.08 showing a gain of 2.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,630 5,965
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2027.3 2133.3

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2133.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of January 12, 2026, SPX rose +0.16%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 31, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – Active Trade in Progress (-1.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.83 H: 58.85 L: 57.88 C: 57.92

    Price is -1.5% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 8 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 57.92 showing a gain of -1.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,335 5,042
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1960.5 1864.3

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1864.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 31, 2025, SPX fell -0.74%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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