Tag: Down trend 8 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 09, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System is Currently Invested (-3.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 54.62 H: 56.86 L: 53.96 C: 56.60

    Price is 1.8% up from previous close.

    Despite a 8-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 56.60 showing a gain of -3.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,224 5,085
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1775.7 1733.7

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1733.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of March 09, 2026, SPX rose +0.83%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – February 24, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (-1.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 57.31 H: 58.41 L: 57.03 C: 58.26

    Price is 1.5% up from previous close.

    Despite a 8-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 58.26 showing a gain of -1.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,435 5,505
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1866.9 1888.2

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1888.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of February 24, 2026, SPX rose +0.77%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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