Tag: Down trend 49 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – August 19, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – System Holding a Position (21.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 71.05 H: 71.44 L: 70.65 C: 70.81

    Price is 0.4% up from previous close.

    Despite a 49-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 70.81 showing a gain of 21.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 7,267 8,801
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.8 23.2

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 23.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of August 19, 2026, SPX rose +0.21%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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