Tag: Down trend 19 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 24, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (-10.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 52.31 H: 53.21 L: 52.06 C: 52.59

    Price is -0.7% down from previous close.

    Despite a 19-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 52.59 showing a gain of -10.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,687 4,070
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1580.9 1392.6

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1392.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 24, 2026, SPX fell -0.37%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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