Tag: Down trend 10 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 24, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Position Open – In the Market (11.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 65.40 H: 66.25 L: 64.65 C: 65.06

    Price is -0.3% down from previous close.

    Despite a 10-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 65.06 showing a gain of 11.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,483 7,324
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.0 21.1

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 24, 2026, SPX fell -0.10%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 11, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Active Trade in Progress (-4.4%)

    Today’s price:O: 56.47 H: 56.87 L: 55.75 C: 56.25

    Price is -0.2% down from previous close.

    Despite a 10-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 56.25 showing a gain of -4.4%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,179 4,996
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1753.1 1698.2

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1698.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of March 11, 2026, SPX fell -0.08%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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