Tag: Daily SP500 Analysis

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 03, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (16.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 57.77 H: 58.49 L: 57.61 C: 58.31

    Price is 0.7% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 6 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 58.31 showing a gain of 16.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,344 5,131
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2036.1 1963.6

    Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 5.2

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1963.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of December 03, 2025, SPX rose +0.30%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 26, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System is Currently Invested (15.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 57.33 H: 58.00 L: 57.17 C: 57.65

    Price is 1.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 2 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 57.65 showing a gain of 15.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,261 4,970
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2026.2 1925.6

    Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 5.2

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1925.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of November 26, 2025, SPX rose +0.69%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 12, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Active Trade in Progress (12.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 117.50 H: 117.52 L: 116.16 C: 116.97

    Price is 0.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 100 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 116.97 showing a gain of 12.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,347 5,378
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.9 21.0

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5856%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of November 12, 2025, SPX rose +0.06%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 07, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Position Open – In the Market (8.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 111.84 H: 112.89 L: 109.58 C: 112.83

    Price is 0.2% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 97 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 112.83 showing a gain of 8.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,073 4,858
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.1 19.3

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5856%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of November 07, 2025, SPX rose +0.13%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 30, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System is Currently Invested (11.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 117.48 H: 118.14 L: 116.08 C: 116.10

    Price is -2.1% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 91 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 116.10 showing a gain of 11.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,283 2,550
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%
    Cagr 21.1 10.8

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 6036%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 10.8%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 30, 2025, SPX fell -0.99%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this can signal the closing phase of a bearish leg initiated in quadrant 1. Even as volatility eases, prices remain under pressure — suggesting that sellers still dominate the short-term tone.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 29, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System Holding a Position (13.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 119.14 H: 119.48 L: 117.14 C: 118.65

    Price is 0.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 90 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 118.65 showing a gain of 13.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,436 2,695
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%
    Cagr 21.6 11.4

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 6036%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 11.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 29, 2025, SPX fell -0.00%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 20, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System is Currently Invested (8.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 112.06 H: 113.69 L: 112.06 C: 113.39

    Price is 2.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 83 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.39 showing a gain of 8.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,087 4,941
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.6 20.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 20, 2025, SPX rose +1.07%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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