Tag: Daily SP500 Analysis

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – February 06, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Active Trade in Progress (0.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 57.44 H: 59.28 L: 57.37 C: 58.98

    Price is 3.7% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 1 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 58.98 showing a gain of 0.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,529 5,687
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1935.2 1983.8

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1983.8%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of February 06, 2026, SPX rose +1.97%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – February 02, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System is Currently Invested (1.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.90 H: 60.16 L: 58.87 C: 59.88

    Price is 0.8% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 9 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.88 showing a gain of 1.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,628 5,915
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1975.2 2063.4

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2063.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of February 02, 2026, SPX rose +0.54%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 30, 2026 – Upward Momentum Continues – Position Open – In the Market (0.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.29 H: 59.71 L: 58.49 C: 59.38

    Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 8 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.38 showing a gain of 0.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,544 5,788
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1956.4 2032.0

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2032.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of January 30, 2026, SPX fell -0.43%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 16, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Position Open – In the Market (1.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.78 H: 59.85 L: 59.17 C: 59.42

    Price is -0.2% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 19 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.42 showing a gain of 1.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,546 5,798
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1990.8 2070.4

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2070.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of January 16, 2026, SPX fell -0.06%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 18, 2025 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is on the Sidelines.

    Today’s price:O: 57.08 H: 57.61 L: 56.64 C: 56.90

    Price is 1.5% up from previous close.

    The S&P500 has been trending down for 2 days. The system remains out of the market, waiting for bullish confirmation.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,176 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1940.1 1975.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1975.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 18, 2025, SPX rose +0.79%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 17, 2025 – Market Direction: Downward – System is on the Sidelines.

    Today’s price:O: 57.50 H: 57.59 L: 56.04 C: 56.06

    Price is -2.2% down from previous close.

    The S&P500 has been trending down for 1 days. The system remains out of the market, waiting for bullish confirmation.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,057 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1902.5 1977.6

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1977.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 17, 2025, SPX fell -1.16%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 03, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (16.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 57.77 H: 58.49 L: 57.61 C: 58.31

    Price is 0.7% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 6 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 58.31 showing a gain of 16.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,344 5,131
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2036.1 1963.6

    Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 5.2

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1963.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of December 03, 2025, SPX rose +0.30%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 26, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System is Currently Invested (15.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 57.33 H: 58.00 L: 57.17 C: 57.65

    Price is 1.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 2 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 57.65 showing a gain of 15.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,261 4,970
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2026.2 1925.6

    Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 5.2

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1925.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of November 26, 2025, SPX rose +0.69%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 12, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Active Trade in Progress (12.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 117.50 H: 117.52 L: 116.16 C: 116.97

    Price is 0.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 100 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 116.97 showing a gain of 12.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,347 5,378
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.9 21.0

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5856%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of November 12, 2025, SPX rose +0.06%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 07, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Position Open – In the Market (8.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 111.84 H: 112.89 L: 109.58 C: 112.83

    Price is 0.2% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 97 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 112.83 showing a gain of 8.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,073 4,858
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.1 19.3

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5856%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of November 07, 2025, SPX rose +0.13%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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